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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Arcadia Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 20,134 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 6.8–8.1

Arcadia Terrace takes in 3 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 20,134. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.6/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 58% against 29.3% citywide, putting Arcadia Terrace 28.8% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 6.8 to 8.1. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Court records carry 1,936 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 8.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.7% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #66 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago. The closest comparables inside the same city are Placerdale and North Kenwood.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,383, close to the Chicago average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Arcadia Terrace vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.1% +98%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,383 -4%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$62,562 -17%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
18.5% +10%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
59.7% +11%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arcadia Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.8–8.1

Why Arcadia Terrace scores 7.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
18.5% below poverty line · Range 2.8–6.4 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.1 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Arcadia Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arcadia Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Arcadia Terrace: 7.67.6Arcadia TerraceNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arcadia Terrace?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 6.8 to 8.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Arcadia Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031020901 8.1 6,179 55% $1,428
17031040202 7.9 7,965 68% $1,410
17031020801 6.8 5,990 48% $1,302
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 54%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arcadia Terrace

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,936Total filings (sum)
  • 3.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak year (2014)
  • 2.61%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arcadia Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arcadia Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arcadia Terrace?

Arcadia Terrace scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arcadia Terrace compare to Chicago overall?

Arcadia Terrace scores 0.9 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,383 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arcadia Terrace?

Average gross rent in Arcadia Terrace is $1,383/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arcadia Terrace residents are renters?

60% of Arcadia Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 20,134 residents.
Q5

Is Arcadia Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Arcadia Terrace sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arcadia Terrace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arcadia Terrace is census tract 17031020901 (score 8.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.8 to 8.1, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Arcadia Terrace for landlords?

Arcadia Terrace carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arcadia Terrace?

Arcadia Terrace has 19,331 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), Hispanic / Latino (28.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arcadia Terrace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arcadia Terrace.

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