Arcadia Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031040202 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,965 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
17031040202 is a census tract in the Arcadia Terrace area of Chicago, IL. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,965 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9799, -87.6941 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arcadia Terrace scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Arcadia Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 83%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 732Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2013)
- 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arcadia Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.7%Food insecurity
- 21.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Arcadia Terrace
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
It sits 1.8 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 732 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 2.9% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 17031040202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031040202?
What is the average rent in tract 17031040202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031040202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031040202?
Is tract 17031040202 considered part of Arcadia Terrace?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031040202?
What share of households in tract 17031040202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17031040202 compare to Chicago overall?
Was tract 17031040202 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.