Tract 17031040202 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 7,965 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
17031040202 is a census tract in the Arcadia Terrace area of Chicago, IL. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,965 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%Stable renters 19%Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,954
Renter share60.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$62,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Arcadia Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
63th percentile
#291 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
77th percentile
#306 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
90th percentile
#327 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9799, -87.6941 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arcadia Terrace scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,410 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Arcadia Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
97%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
83%Grade B
17%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
732Total filings over 15 yrs
2.64%Avg annual filing rate
2.9%Peak (2013)
40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arcadia Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
17.0%Housing insecurity
10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
23.7%Food insecurity
21.2%SNAP enrollment
10.7%Transit barriers
12.7%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arcadia Terrace
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
It sits 1.8 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 732 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 2.9% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031040202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031040202?
Census tract 17031040202 in the Arcadia Terrace neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031040202?
Median gross rent is $1,410/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031040202?
18.4% of residents in tract 17031040202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,965.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031040202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 50th, minority 79th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 17031040202 considered part of Arcadia Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031040202 fall within Arcadia Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031040202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 732 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031040202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.64% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031040202 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031040202 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031040202 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031040202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.