Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Arcadia Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031020801 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,990 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 17031020801 sits in the Arcadia Terrace area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,164
Renter share56.4%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$73,151
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9868, -87.6944 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arcadia Terrace scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,302 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Arcadia Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 291Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2014)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arcadia Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.3%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arcadia Terrace
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 291 evictions over 15 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
At $1,302 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Filings peaked in 2014 at 2.4% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031020801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031020801?
Census tract 17031020801 in the Arcadia Terrace neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031020801?
Median gross rent is $1,302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031020801?
11.2% of residents in tract 17031020801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,990.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031020801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 54th, minority 76th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 17031020801 considered part of Arcadia Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031020801 fall within Arcadia Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031020801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 291 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031020801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.45% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031020801 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031020801 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031020801 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031020801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
West Haven
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Park Manor Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Branch Addition
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
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