Windsor Park Eviction Risk: High

30.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 57.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 43%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.6/10. The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Average gross rent is $1,032, 28% below the Chicago average of $1,440.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Court records carry 9,623 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 21.5% of renter households.

With little internal variation, 8.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.