Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Bryn Mawr East Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031430800 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,016 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
17031430800 is a census tract in the Bryn Mawr East area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,016. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units803
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$47,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7608, -87.5713 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bryn Mawr East scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,187 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Bryn Mawr East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 95%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 532Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2001)
- 35Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bryn Mawr East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.1%Food insecurity
- 31.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.4%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr East
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 1.9 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 24.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,187, 18% below the Chicago average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 532 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2001 at 9.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031430800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031430800?
Census tract 17031430800 in the Bryn Mawr East neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031430800?
Median gross rent is $1,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031430800?
17.8% of residents in tract 17031430800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,016.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031430800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 59th, minority 100th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 17031430800 considered part of Bryn Mawr East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031430800 fall within Bryn Mawr East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031430800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031430800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031430800 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031430800 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031430800 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031430800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Smith Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Pullman
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jackson Park Highlands District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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