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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Grayland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031161100 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,024 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 17031161100 covers part of the Grayland area of Chicago, IL, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 17% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units750
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$153,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Grayland
Very Low
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#696 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#941 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#1,346 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9499, -87.7382 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grayland scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Grayland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grayland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 161100Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 332Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.8%Peak (2003)
  • 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170311611002001: 15 filings (5.10/100 renter HHs)2002: 5 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 70 filings (23.81/100 renter HHs)2004: 25 filings (8.50/100 renter HHs)2005: 34 filings (14.66/100 renter HHs)2006: 14 filings (6.03/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (7.33/100 renter HHs)2008: 27 filings (11.64/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (6.47/100 renter HHs)2010: 18 filings (5.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 25 filings (11.63/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (7.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 17 filings (7.91/100 renter HHs)2014: 12 filings (5.58/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (9.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grayland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grayland

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cook County average of 45.6%. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Disability prevalence runs 18.7% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 332 filings here across 15 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 23.8% of renter households. At $1,563 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Chicago commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031161100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031161100?

Census tract 17031161100 in the Grayland neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031161100?

Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031161100?

5.4% of residents in tract 17031161100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,024.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031161100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 21th, minority 49th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 17031161100 considered part of Grayland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031161100 fall within Grayland (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031161100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 332 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031161100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.91% of renter households, peaking at 23.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031161100 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031161100 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031161100 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031161100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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