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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Grayland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031831700 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,224 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 7.6/10, tract 17031831700 in the Grayland area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,224 residents. 57% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 13% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units981
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$47,232

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Grayland
Very High
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#358 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#395 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#402 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9527, -87.7453 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grayland scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$920 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Grayland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grayland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.67.6This tracttract 831700Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 158Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2006)
  • 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318317002001: 8 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (2.77/100 renter HHs)2004: 10 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2007: 9 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2008: 4 filings (1.40/100 renter HHs)2009: 12 filings (4.21/100 renter HHs)2010: 16 filings (4.88/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (4.30/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (3.44/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2015: 14 filings (4.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 75% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grayland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grayland

Cost burden runs 72% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $920, 36% below the Chicago average. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 158 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 6.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #9,927 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031831700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031831700?

Census tract 17031831700 in the Grayland neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031831700?

Median gross rent is $920/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031831700?

12.7% of residents in tract 17031831700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,224.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031831700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 45th, minority 70th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 17031831700 considered part of Grayland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031831700 fall within Grayland (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031831700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031831700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.28% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031831700 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031831700 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031831700 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031831700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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