Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Mandell Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031260500 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,767 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031260500 in the Mandell area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,767 residents. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units603
Renter share60.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$40,991
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8767, -87.7377 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mandell scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Mandell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 456Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2004)
- 23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mandell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.7%Housing insecurity
- 29.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 50.0%Food insecurity
- 56.1%SNAP enrollment
- 23.9%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 39.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mandell
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 86% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 50.0% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 38.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $40,991, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 456 filings here across 15 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 10.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031260500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031260500?
Census tract 17031260500 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031260500?
Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 86% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031260500?
22.2% of residents in tract 17031260500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,767.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031260500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 73th, minority 99th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 17031260500 considered part of Mandell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031260500 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031260500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 456 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031260500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.88% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031260500 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031260500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031260500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031260500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Auburn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Gano
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Glenwood Arts District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chinatown
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marynook
8.1
/ 10 · High
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