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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Noble Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031243400 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 17031243400 covers part of the Noble Square area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,931 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 35% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,540
Renter share63.8%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$113,966

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Noble Square
Very High
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#572 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#701 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#829 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8926, -87.6599 · click any tract to drill in

Why Noble Square scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,889 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Noble Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Noble Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 2434006.7Chicagoparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 143Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2010)
  • 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 17031243400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Noble Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Noble Square

At $1,889 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Chicago commands. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 143 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 2.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.

It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031243400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031243400?

Census tract 17031243400 in the Noble Square neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031243400?

Median gross rent is $1,889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031243400?

13.7% of residents in tract 17031243400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031243400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 11th, minority 56th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 17031243400 considered part of Noble Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031243400 fall within Noble Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031243400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 143 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031243400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.30% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031243400 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031243400 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031243400 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031243400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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