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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031080202 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,800 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17031080202 sits in the Old Town Triangle neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 3,800 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 40% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 16% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,916/month against a median household income of $104,129 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 35% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,838
Renter share57.9%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$104,129

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71 th percentile
Rank — 71th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 8 tracts In Old Town Triangle
Elevated
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank — 44th percentileBottomTop
#447 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank — 61th percentileBottomTop
#514 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank — 78th percentileBottomTop
#711 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9059, -87.6309 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town Triangle scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,916 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Old Town Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 080202Chicago: 6.86.8Chicagoparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D — Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 427Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak (2010)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170310802022001: 24 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (2.77/100 renter HHs)2003: 22 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 23 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (4.34/100 renter HHs)2006: 30 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)2007: 33 filings (4.48/100 renter HHs)2008: 30 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)2009: 38 filings (5.16/100 renter HHs)2010: 45 filings (4.47/100 renter HHs)2011: 37 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 35 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2014: 14 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (1.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031080202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031080202?

Census tract 17031080202 in the Old Town Triangle neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031080202?

Median gross rent is $1,916/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031080202?

12.3% of residents in tract 17031080202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,800.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031080202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 12th, minority 27th, housing 37th.

Q5

Is tract 17031080202 considered part of Old Town Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031080202 fall within Old Town Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031080202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 427 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031080202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.07% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031080202 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031080202 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031080202 scores 5.9/10 — lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031080202 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 79% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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