Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031230800 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,029 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Pacific Junction in Chicago anchors census tract 17031230800, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #26,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,639 a month against an average household income of $71,328 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 18% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units376
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$71,328

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 16 tracts In Pacific Junction
Moderate
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#433 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#490 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#716 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9058, -87.7150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pacific Junction scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,639 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Pacific Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pacific Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 230800Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 65Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak (2008)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312308002001: 4 filings (2.48/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (3.73/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (0.73/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2008: 8 filings (5.84/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (0.57/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (2.42/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.21/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (3.64/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 75% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031230800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031230800?

Census tract 17031230800 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031230800?

Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031230800?

13.9% of residents in tract 17031230800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,029.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031230800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 58th, minority 89th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 17031230800 considered part of Pacific Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031230800 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031230800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031230800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.79% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031230800 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031230800 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031230800 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031230800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related