Within neighborhood
82
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Park Manor Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031420700 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,274 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 17031420700 sits in the Park Manor area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 2,274. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate42.5%
Median income$28,605
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7767, -87.6107 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Manor scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
42.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,195 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Park Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,241Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.2%Peak (2002)
- 96Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 42.0%Housing insecurity
- 32.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.4%Food insecurity
- 62.1%SNAP enrollment
- 28.1%Transit barriers
- 17.3%No health insurance
- 23.0%Frequent mental distress
- 44.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Manor
Housing insecurity runs 42.0% against 14.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $28,605 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally. At $1,195 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
The filing record is not thin: 1,241 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 11.2% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031420700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031420700?
Census tract 17031420700 in the Park Manor neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031420700?
Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031420700?
42.5% of residents in tract 17031420700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,274.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031420700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 78th, minority 99th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 17031420700 considered part of Park Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031420700 fall within Park Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031420700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,241 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031420700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.38% of renter households, peaking at 11.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031420700 struggle to pay rent?
About 42.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031420700 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031420700 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031420700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Little India
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Dauphin Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related