Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Ashland Arts District Eviction Risk: Lower , Evanston
Tract 17031809100 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,287 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17031809100 (the Ashland Arts District neighborhood of Evanston, Illinois) comes in at 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #29,364 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,453 a month against an average household income of $105,469 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$105,469
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0594, -87.7044 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashland Arts District scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,453 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Ashland Arts District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 5%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 64Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2003)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashland Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashland Arts District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Evanston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031809100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809100?
Census tract 17031809100 in the Ashland Arts District neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031809100?
Median gross rent is $1,453/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809100?
10.5% of residents in tract 17031809100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,287.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 27th, minority 27th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 17031809100 considered part of Ashland Arts District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809100 fall within Ashland Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 64 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.07% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031809100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031809100 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031809100 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Evanston at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031809100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ridgeville
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Evanston
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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