Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Ashland Arts District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Evanston
Tract 17031809300 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,799 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031809300 sits in the Ashland Arts District neighborhood of Evanston eviction risk, Illinois eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,710 a month against an average household income of $49,063 a year, roughly 42% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,035
Renter share70.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate29.8%
Median income$49,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0580, -87.6865 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashland Arts District scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
29.8% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,710 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Ashland Arts District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 21%Grade B
- 44%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 137Total filings over 15 yrs
- 0.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2002)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashland Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.9%Food insecurity
- 13.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashland Arts District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Evanston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031809300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809300?
Census tract 17031809300 in the Ashland Arts District neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031809300?
Median gross rent is $1,710/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809300?
29.8% of residents in tract 17031809300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,799.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 2th, minority 61th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 17031809300 considered part of Ashland Arts District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809300 fall within Ashland Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.65% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031809300 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031809300 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031809300 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Evanston at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031809300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ridgeville
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Evanston
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Evanston Lakeshore Historic District
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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