Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Church and Dodge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Evanston
Tract 17031809600 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,226 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 17031809600 reflects conditions in the Church and Dodge area of Evanston, Illinois. That is riskier than roughly 54% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,711 a month while the average household earns $71,635 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,359
Renter share26.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$71,635
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0447, -87.6999 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church and Dodge scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,711 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Church and Dodge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 58%Grade C
- 22%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 195Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2004)
- 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church and Dodge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church and Dodge
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Evanston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 22% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031809600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809600?
Census tract 17031809600 in the Church and Dodge neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031809600?
Median gross rent is $1,711/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809600?
5.8% of residents in tract 17031809600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,226.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 45th, minority 74th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 17031809600 considered part of Church and Dodge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809600 fall within Church and Dodge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.20% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031809600 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031809600 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031809600 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Evanston at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031809600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ridgeville
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Evanston
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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