Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Evanston
Tract 17031808702 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,244 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
In the Downtown neighborhood of Evanston, census tract 17031808702 scores 6.4/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 85th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,417 monthly, set against $58,011 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units460
Renter share38.9%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate28.8%
Median income$58,011
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0582, -87.6719 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
28.8% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 11 yrs
- 1.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2003)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.2%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Evanston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031808702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031808702?
Census tract 17031808702 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031808702?
Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031808702?
28.8% of residents in tract 17031808702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,244.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031808702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 2th, minority 60th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 17031808702 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031808702 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031808702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 17031808702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.05% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031808702 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031808702 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031808702 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Evanston at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031808702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ridgeville
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Evanston
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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