Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Evanston
Tract 17031809500 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,183 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 6.1/10, tract 17031809500 in Downtown in Evanston ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,183 residents. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,926 monthly, set against $75,620 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,210
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$75,620
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0465, -87.6877 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,926 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 61%Grade C
- 26%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 194Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2001)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 19.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Evanston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 26% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031809500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809500?
Census tract 17031809500 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031809500?
Median gross rent is $1,926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809500?
15.6% of residents in tract 17031809500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,183.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 9th, minority 54th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 17031809500 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809500 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 194 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.40% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031809500 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031809500 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031809500 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Evanston at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031809500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ridgeville
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Evanston
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Related