Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Church and Dodge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Evanston
Tract 17031809200 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,857 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in Church and Dodge in Evanston centers on tract 17031809200, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,857 residents. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,376 monthly, set against $51,978 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,746
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$51,978
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0526, -87.6993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church and Dodge scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Church and Dodge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 85%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 638Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2002)
- 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church and Dodge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.5%Housing insecurity
- 14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.2%Food insecurity
- 26.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church and Dodge
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Evanston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 638 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2002.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 85% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031809200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809200?
Census tract 17031809200 in the Church and Dodge neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031809200?
Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809200?
17.3% of residents in tract 17031809200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,857.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 86th, minority 89th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 17031809200 considered part of Church and Dodge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809200 fall within Church and Dodge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 638 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031809200 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031809200 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031809200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Evanston at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031809200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 85% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ridgeville
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Evanston
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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