Church and Dodge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Evanston
Tract 17031809200 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 4,857 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
17031809200 is a census tract in the Church and Dodge area of Evanston, IL. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%Stable renters 30%Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,746
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$51,978
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Church and Dodge
Very High
Within parent city
83th percentile
#4 of 19 tracts In Evanston
High
Within county
76th percentile
#317 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
90th percentile
#327 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0526, -87.6993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church and Dodge scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Church and Dodge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
83%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
85%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
638Total filings over 15 yrs
5.26%Avg annual filing rate
6.9%Peak (2002)
41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings dropped 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church and Dodge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
23.5%Housing insecurity
14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
28.2%Food insecurity
26.5%SNAP enrollment
13.4%Transit barriers
12.6%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church and Dodge
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,376, 22% below the Evanston average.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 26.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 638 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031809200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809200?
Census tract 17031809200 in the Church and Dodge neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031809200?
Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809200?
17.3% of residents in tract 17031809200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,857.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 86th, minority 89th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 17031809200 considered part of Church and Dodge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809200 fall within Church and Dodge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 638 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031809200 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031809200 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031809200 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Evanston at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031809200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 85% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.