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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Ashland Arts District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Evanston

Tract 17031809100 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,287 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 17031809100 in the Ashland Arts District area of Evanston, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 22% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$105,469

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Ashland Arts District
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 19 tracts In Evanston
Moderate
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#785 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#994 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Evanston and the region

Centroid at 42.0594, -87.7044 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashland Arts District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,453 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1

How Ashland Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashland Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 809100Evanston: 6.66.6Evanstonparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 64Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2003)
  • 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318091002001: 2 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 5 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (1.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (0.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 3 filings (0.66/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (0.88/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (0.88/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (0.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ashland Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashland Arts District

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. At $1,453 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Evanston commands. The filing record is not thin: 64 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2003, when 2.4% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $105,469, an unusually wide affordability cushion. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031809100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809100?

Census tract 17031809100 in the Ashland Arts District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031809100?

Median gross rent is $1,453/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809100?

10.5% of residents in tract 17031809100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,287.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 27th, minority 27th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 17031809100 considered part of Ashland Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809100 fall within Ashland Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 64 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.07% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031809100 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031809100 compare to Evanston overall?

Tract 17031809100 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Evanston at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031809100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Evanston

Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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