Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally
Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031231200 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,957 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17031231200 (the Pacific Junction neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois) comes in at 6.8/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 77% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,207 a month while the average household earns $31,629 a year, roughly 46% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,985
Renter share59.1%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate50.5%
Median income$31,629
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8991, -87.7213 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pacific Junction scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
50.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,207 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Pacific Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,545Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.0%Peak (2002)
- 84Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.3%Housing insecurity
- 27.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 52.4%Food insecurity
- 53.8%SNAP enrollment
- 24.7%Transit barriers
- 26.2%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 42.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,545 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 8.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.0% of renter households in 2002.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031231200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031231200?
Census tract 17031231200 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031231200?
Median gross rent is $1,207/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031231200?
50.5% of residents in tract 17031231200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,957.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031231200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 97th, minority 97th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 17031231200 considered part of Pacific Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031231200 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031231200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,545 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031231200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.26% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031231200 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031231200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031231200 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031231200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Central Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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