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Neighborhood · Oswego, IL

River Run Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,251 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.7–4.1

River Run takes in 2 census tracts of Oswego, IL and houses 11,251 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 33.6% citywide, putting River Run 15.4% over its own city.

At $1,204 a month, rents sit 35% under what the rest of Oswego commands. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10.

At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
River Run vs Oswego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.0% +46%
Oswego: 33.6%
Average gross rent
$1,204 -35%
Oswego: $1,860
Average HH income
$111,489 -7%
Oswego: $119,881
Poverty rate
4.0% +77%
Oswego: 2.3%
Renter share
22.3% +84%
Oswego: 12.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–4.1

Why River Run scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–1.8 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

River Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9River RunNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in River Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17093890106 4.1 4,366 66% $1,280
17093890301 3.7 6,885 38% $1,156
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in River Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About River Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River Run?

River Run scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River Run compare to Oswego overall?

River Run scores 0.1 points lower than Oswego overall (4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,204 vs $1,860.
Q3

What is the average rent in River Run?

Average gross rent in River Run is $1,204/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River Run residents are renters?

22% of River Run households are renter-occupied (vs 12% in Oswego). The neighborhood has 11,251 residents.
Q5

Is River Run a high social-vulnerability area?

River Run sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in River Run have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in River Run is census tract 17093890106 (score 4.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 4.1, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is River Run for landlords?

River Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oswego as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of River Run?

River Run has 11,356 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oswego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to River Run.

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