Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
River Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oswego
Tract 17093890106 ·
Kendall County, IL · pop 4,366 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
17093890106 is a census tract in the River Run area of Oswego, IL. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,366 residents. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 47.0% across Kendall County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 7%Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,612
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$111,829
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In River Run
Very High
Within parent city
57th percentile
#4 of 8 tracts In Oswego
Elevated
Within county
50th percentile
#11 of 21 tracts In Kendall County
Moderate
Within state
36th percentile
#2,094 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oswego and the region
Centroid at 41.6744, -88.3565 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Run scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oswego
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oswego
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oswego
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oswego
5.2
How River Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.9%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Run
32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.6/10.
At $1,280 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Oswego commands. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $111,829, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17093890106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17093890106?
Census tract 17093890106 in the River Run neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17093890106?
Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17093890106?
6.3% of residents in tract 17093890106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17093890106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 19th, minority 36th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 17093890106 considered part of River Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17093890106 fall within River Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17093890106 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17093890106 compare to Oswego overall?
Tract 17093890106 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Oswego at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oswego
Top eight tracts in Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.