Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

River Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Oswego

Tract 17093890301 · Kendall County, IL · pop 6,885 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 17093890301 covers the River Run area of Oswego, home to 6,885 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,156 a month while the average household earns $111,273 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.5

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 14% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units2,350

Renter share22.9%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate2.6%

Median income$111,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oswego and the region

Centroid at 41.7078, -88.3595 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Run scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oswego

5.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

2.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,156 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oswego

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oswego

3.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oswego

5.2

How River Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.0%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
23.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Run

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oswego eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kendall County average of 5.1 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17093890301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17093890301?

Census tract 17093890301 in the River Run neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17093890301?

Median gross rent is $1,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17093890301?

2.6% of residents in tract 17093890301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,885.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17093890301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 16th, minority 59th, housing 33th.

Is tract 17093890301 considered part of River Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17093890301 fall within River Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17093890301 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17093890301 compare to Oswego overall?

Tract 17093890301 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Oswego at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17093890301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oswego

Top eight tracts in Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.