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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

River Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Oswego

Tract 17093890301 · Kendall County, IL · pop 6,885 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

17093890301 is a census tract in the River Run area of Oswego, IL. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,885. Average gross rent is $1,156, 38% below the Oswego average.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 14% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,350
Renter share22.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$111,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In River Run
Very Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Oswego
Moderate
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 21 tracts In Kendall County
Moderate
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#2,350 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oswego and the region

Centroid at 41.7078, -88.3595 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Run scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oswego
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,156 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oswego
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oswego
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oswego
5.2

How River Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Run risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 8903014.0Oswegoparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Run

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.

Cost burden runs 38% here against 47.0% across Kendall County. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $111,273, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17093890301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17093890301?

Census tract 17093890301 in the River Run neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17093890301?

Median gross rent is $1,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17093890301?

2.6% of residents in tract 17093890301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,885.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17093890301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 16th, minority 59th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 17093890301 considered part of River Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17093890301 fall within River Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17093890301 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17093890301 compare to Oswego overall?

Tract 17093890301 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Oswego at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17093890301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oswego

Top eight tracts in Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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