Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Clearwater Springs at Mirage Eviction Risk: Lower , Joliet
Tract 17197880431 ·
Will County, IL · pop 6,460 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 17197880431 covers part of the Clearwater Springs at Mirage area of Joliet, IL, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,460 residents. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 1%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,868
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$115,765
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Clearwater Springs at Mirage
Moderate
Within parent city
33th percentile
#31 of 46 tracts In Joliet
Low
Within county
44th percentile
#96 of 172 tracts In Will County
Moderate
Within state
30th percentile
#2,285 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Joliet and the region
Centroid at 41.5722, -88.2477 · click any tract to drill in
Why Clearwater Springs at Mirage scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Joliet
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,043 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Joliet
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Joliet
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Joliet
3.5
How Clearwater Springs at Mirage compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
19%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.8%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
13.0%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Clearwater Springs at Mirage
At $2,043 a month, rents run 60% over what the rest of Joliet commands. Against Will County at 40.4%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. The voucher gap is 16.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Will County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $115,765.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17197880431
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197880431?
Census tract 17197880431 in the Clearwater Springs at Mirage neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17197880431?
Median gross rent is $2,043/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17197880431?
9.3% of residents in tract 17197880431 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,460.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17197880431?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 46th, minority 56th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 17197880431 considered part of Clearwater Springs at Mirage?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197880431 fall within Clearwater Springs at Mirage (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17197880431 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17197880431 compare to Joliet overall?
Tract 17197880431 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Joliet
Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.