Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881401 · Will County, IL · pop 3,450 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 17197881401 in the Raynor Park area of Joliet, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,450. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,340

Renter share38.3%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate9.1%

Median income$71,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5470, -88.0901 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raynor Park scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

9.1% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,349 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Raynor Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
6%Grade B
64%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.5%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
20.8%Food insecurity
16.4%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
18.1%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
28.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10.

48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Will County average of 40.4%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Will County average of 4.2.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Joliet. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,349, close to the Joliet average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $71,000. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881401?

Census tract 17197881401 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881401?

Median gross rent is $1,349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881401?

9.1% of residents in tract 17197881401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,450.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 67th, minority 83th, housing 35th.

Is tract 17197881401 considered part of Raynor Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881401 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17197881401 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881401 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881401 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.