Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Joliet

Tract 17197881401 · Will County, IL · pop 3,450 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17197881401 covers the Raynor Park neighborhood of Joliet, home to 3,450 residents. For landlords it grades 4.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,349 a month while the average household earns $71,000 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,340

Renter share38.3%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate9.1%

Median income$71,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5470, -88.0901 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raynor Park scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

9.1% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,349 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Raynor Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
6%Grade B
64%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.5%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
20.8%Food insecurity
16.4%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
18.1%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
28.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Joliet eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Will County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881401?

Census tract 17197881401 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881401?

Median gross rent is $1,349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881401?

9.1% of residents in tract 17197881401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,450.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 67th, minority 83th, housing 35th.

Is tract 17197881401 considered part of Raynor Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881401 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17197881401 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881401 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881401 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Joliet at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.