2 census tracts · pop 8,087 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Central Park is a 2-tract neighborhood of Rockford, IL and houses 8,087 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Rockford rate of 32.1%.
35% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 30%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. 19.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.6/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. That places it #1 of 12 neighborhoods in Rockford.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Average gross rent runs $993, close to the Rockford average.
With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Central Park vs RockfordHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
26.4%Housing insecurity
19.3%Utility shutoff threat
36.3%Food insecurity
40.3%SNAP enrollment
16.5%No health insurance
44.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Central Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Central Park?
Central Park scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Central Park compare to Rockford overall?
Central Park scores 1.4 points higher than Rockford overall (4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $993 vs $985.
Q3
What is the average rent in Central Park?
Average gross rent in Central Park is $993/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Central Park residents are renters?
59% of Central Park households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Rockford). The neighborhood has 8,087 residents.
Q5
Is Central Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Central Park sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Central Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Park is census tract 17201003300 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Central Park for landlords?
Central Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rockford as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Central Park?
Central Park has 7,642 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (33.6%), Hispanic / Latino (17.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
