Neighborhood · Rockford, IL

Churchill's Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,215 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 3.8–6.2

Churchill's Grove is a white-black neighborhood in Rockford with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,215 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,000/month sits 2% higher than the Rockford citywide average ($985).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Churchill's Grove vs Rockford How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.5% +67%

Rockford: 32.1%

Average gross rent

$1,000 +2%

Rockford: $985

Average HH income

$48,536 -9%

Rockford: $53,328

Poverty rate

29.7% +36%

Rockford: 21.9%

Renter share

61.6% +37%

Rockford: 45.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Churchill's Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.8–6.2

Why Churchill's Grove scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

62% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

29.7% below poverty line · Range 2.1–10.0 across tracts

7.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–4.5 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Churchill's Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Churchill's Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17201003100	6.2	3,500	59%	$939
17201003000	3.8	1,715	42%	$1,123

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 66%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Churchill's Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

23.2%Housing insecurity
17.4%Utility shutoff threat
30.7%Food insecurity
34.2%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
36.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Churchill's Grove

What is the eviction-risk score for Churchill's Grove?

Churchill's Grove scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Churchill's Grove compare to Rockford overall?

Churchill's Grove scores 1.2 points higher than Rockford overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,000 vs $985.

What is the average rent in Churchill's Grove?

Average gross rent in Churchill's Grove is $1,000/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Churchill's Grove residents are renters?

62% of Churchill's Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Rockford). The neighborhood has 5,215 residents.

Is Churchill's Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Churchill's Grove sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Churchill's Grove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Churchill's Grove is census tract 17201003100 (score 6.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 6.2, a spread of 2.4 points.

How safe is Churchill's Grove for landlords?

Churchill's Grove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rockford as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Churchill's Grove?

Churchill's Grove has 5,065 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Churchill's Grove

5.2 Edgewater 6 tracts · pop 18,741 6 Downtown Rockford 6 tracts · pop 13,935 5.9 Jackson Oaks 3 tracts · pop 7,646 4.4 North Highland Square 5 tracts · pop 18,846 6 Central Park 2 tracts · pop 8,087 4.1 Harlem 4 tracts · pop 14,862

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rockford

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Churchill's Grove.

5.2 Edgewater 6 tracts · pop 18,741 5.9 Jackson Oaks 3 tracts · pop 7,646 5.9 Prairie Hill 1 tracts · pop 1,152 6 Downtown Rockford 6 tracts · pop 13,935 6 Beverly Park 1 tracts · pop 3,082 6 Central Park 2 tracts · pop 8,087

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