2 census tracts · pop 5,215 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 3.2–5.4
Churchill's Grove spans 2 census tracts of Rockford, IL and houses 5,215 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 32.1% citywide, putting Churchill's Grove 21.4% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.2 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. SNAP participation is 28.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
On the high side is economic stress at 7.4/10. 14.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10.
Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Rockford, it ranks #7 by risk, the middle third. Average gross rent runs $1,000, close to the Rockford average.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $48,536. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Churchill's Grove vs RockfordHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Churchill's Grove
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
23.2%Housing insecurity
17.4%Utility shutoff threat
30.7%Food insecurity
34.2%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
36.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Churchill's Grove
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Churchill's Grove?
Churchill's Grove scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Churchill's Grove compare to Rockford overall?
Churchill's Grove scores 0.7 points higher than Rockford overall (4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,000 vs $985.
Q3
What is the average rent in Churchill's Grove?
Average gross rent in Churchill's Grove is $1,000/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Churchill's Grove residents are renters?
62% of Churchill's Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Rockford). The neighborhood has 5,215 residents.
Q5
Is Churchill's Grove a high social-vulnerability area?
Churchill's Grove sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Churchill's Grove have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Churchill's Grove is census tract 17201003100 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.4, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Churchill's Grove for landlords?
Churchill's Grove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rockford as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Churchill's Grove?
Churchill's Grove has 5,065 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
