4 census tracts · pop 14,862 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10
· range 3.1–5.5
Harlem is a 4-tract neighborhood of Machesney Park, IL, population 14,862. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.1 to 5.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Against a Machesney Park baseline of 27.6%, roughly one in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
At $1,033 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Machesney Park commands. Against average income of $67,439, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.
32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Harlem vs Machesney ParkHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harlem
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.0%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
18.2%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
34.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Harlem
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Harlem?
Harlem scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Harlem compare to Machesney Park overall?
Harlem scores 0.3 points higher than Machesney Park overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,033 vs $1,102.
Q3
What is the average rent in Harlem?
Average gross rent in Harlem is $1,033/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Harlem residents are renters?
32% of Harlem households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Machesney Park). The neighborhood has 14,862 residents.
Q5
Is Harlem a high social-vulnerability area?
Harlem sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Harlem have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Harlem is census tract 17201003809 (score 5.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 5.5, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Harlem for landlords?
Harlem carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Machesney Park as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Harlem?
Harlem has 15,055 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
