Neighborhood · Machesney Park, IL

Harlem Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 14,862 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.1–5

Harlem is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Machesney Park with 4 census tracts and a population of 14,862 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 33% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,033/month sits 6% lower than the Machesney Park citywide average ($1,102).

Risk score

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Harlem vs Machesney Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

32.9% +19%

Machesney Park: 27.6%

Average gross rent

$1,033 -6%

Machesney Park: $1,102

Average HH income

$67,439 -9%

Machesney Park: $74,244

Poverty rate

14.8% +13%

Machesney Park: 13.1%

Renter share

32.0% +57%

Machesney Park: 20.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Harlem and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.1–5

Why Harlem scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

33% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 4.6–7.8 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.8 across tracts

5.6

Economic stress

14.8% below poverty line · Range 2.3–6.5 across tracts

3.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–4.4 across tracts

3.7

Risk score comparison

Harlem vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Harlem?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.9 points from 3.1 to 5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.0 4.5 3.6 3.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Harlem

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17201000104	5	2,702	44%	$1,115
17201003809	4.5	4,378	34%	$1,049
17201000105	3.6	3,930	33%	$891
17201003808	3.1	3,852	24%	$1,103

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 64%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 43%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harlem

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.0%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
18.2%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
34.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Harlem

What is the eviction-risk score for Harlem?

Harlem scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Harlem compare to Machesney Park overall?

Harlem scores 0.6 points lower than Machesney Park overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,033 vs $1,102.

What is the average rent in Harlem?

Average gross rent in Harlem is $1,033/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Harlem residents are renters?

32% of Harlem households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Machesney Park). The neighborhood has 14,862 residents.

Is Harlem a high social-vulnerability area?

Harlem sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Harlem have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Harlem is census tract 17201000104 (score 5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 5, a spread of 1.9 points.

How safe is Harlem for landlords?

Harlem carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Machesney Park as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Harlem?

Harlem has 15,055 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Harlem

5.2 Edgewater 6 tracts · pop 18,741 3.3 Wilshire 2 tracts · pop 7,610 4.4 North Highland Square 5 tracts · pop 18,846 6 Central Park 2 tracts · pop 8,087 5 Churchill's Grove 2 tracts · pop 5,215 5.9 Jackson Oaks 3 tracts · pop 7,646

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Machesney Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Harlem.

3.2 Silo Ridge 1 tracts · pop 7,367

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