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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Jackson Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201000800 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,719 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17201000800 in the Jackson Oaks area of Rockford, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 36.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 39% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,279
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate24.2%
Median income$41,979

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Jackson Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 54 tracts In Rockford
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Very High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2720, -89.0777 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jackson Oaks scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.2% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$916 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Jackson Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jackson Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0008004.0Rockfordparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Jackson Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jackson Oaks

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 34.6% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000800?

Census tract 17201000800 in the Jackson Oaks neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201000800?

Median gross rent is $916/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000800?

24.2% of residents in tract 17201000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,719.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 88th, minority 64th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 17201000800 considered part of Jackson Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000800 fall within Jackson Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201000800 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201000800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201000800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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