Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Morehaven Eviction Risk: Lower , Roscoe
Tract 17201003904 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,997 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 17201003904 covers Morehaven in Roscoe in Illinois. Home to 4,997 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 39% of US census tracts.
33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,216 a month against an average household income of $88,393 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,847
Renter share24.4%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$88,393
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roscoe and the region
Centroid at 42.4256, -89.0095 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morehaven scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roscoe
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,216 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roscoe
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roscoe
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roscoe
4.4
How Morehaven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.8%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morehaven
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roscoe, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201003904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003904?
Census tract 17201003904 in the Morehaven neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201003904?
Median gross rent is $1,216/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003904?
6.7% of residents in tract 17201003904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,997.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 35th, minority 18th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 17201003904 considered part of Morehaven?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201003904 fall within Morehaven (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201003904 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201003904 compare to Roscoe overall?
Tract 17201003904 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Roscoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roscoe; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roscoe
Top eight tracts in Roscoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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