Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Roscoe Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 17201003806 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,299 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Roscoe
For landlords sizing up Roscoe, census tract 17201003806 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,546 monthly, set against $118,611 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,822
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$118,611
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
13
th percentile
Very Low
National
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roscoe and the region
Centroid at 42.3923, -88.9694 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roscoe scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roscoe
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,546 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roscoe
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roscoe
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roscoe
4.4
How Roscoe compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roscoe
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roscoe, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201003806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003806?
Census tract 17201003806 in Roscoe scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201003806?
Median gross rent is $1,546/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003806?
4.3% of residents in tract 17201003806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,299.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 15th, minority 30th, housing 8th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17201003806 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17201003806 compare to Roscoe overall?
Tract 17201003806 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Roscoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roscoe; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roscoe
Top eight tracts in Roscoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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