Roscoe Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. The voucher gap is 30.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $118,611, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,546, close to the Roscoe average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.