Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Roscoe Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 17201003801 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 6,381 · 21% of tract blocks fall in Roscoe
The Moderate-tier score of 5.1/10 for census tract 17201003801 reflects conditions in Roscoe, Illinois. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,443 a month against an average household income of $93,316 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,329
Renter share22.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$93,316
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
National
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roscoe and the region
Centroid at 42.3827, -89.1071 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roscoe scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roscoe
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,443 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roscoe
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roscoe
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roscoe
4.4
How Roscoe compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roscoe
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roscoe, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201003801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003801?
Census tract 17201003801 in Roscoe scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201003801?
Median gross rent is $1,443/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003801?
4.1% of residents in tract 17201003801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,381.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 44th, minority 28th, housing 6th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17201003801 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17201003801 compare to Roscoe overall?
Tract 17201003801 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Roscoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roscoe; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roscoe
Top eight tracts in Roscoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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