Roscoe Eviction Risk: Lower

36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Winnebago County average of 44.4%. The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.3 points below the Winnebago County average of 4.3. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.2/10.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $1,443, close to the Roscoe average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.