Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Roscoe Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 17201003903 ·
Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,670 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Roscoe
Census tract 17201003903 covers part of Roscoe, IL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,670. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 3%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units2,148
Renter share3.4%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$136,765
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Roscoe
Very Low
Within county
24th percentile
#61 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Low
Within state
12th percentile
#2,873 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roscoe and the region
Centroid at 42.4549, -88.9660 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roscoe scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roscoe
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roscoe
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roscoe
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roscoe
4.4
How Roscoe compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.7%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roscoe
Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Food insecurity runs 7.1% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201003903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003903?
Census tract 17201003903 in Roscoe scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003903?
3.5% of residents in tract 17201003903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,670.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 79th, minority 15th, housing 1th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 17201003903 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 17201003903 compare to Roscoe overall?
Tract 17201003903 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Roscoe at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roscoe; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roscoe
Top eight tracts in Roscoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.