Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Bristol Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 18039000702 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 3,195 · 49% of tract blocks fall in Bristol
Bristol anchors census tract 18039000702, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,103 monthly, set against $61,016 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,022
Renter share32.5%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$61,016
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bristol and the region
Centroid at 41.7175, -85.8143 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bristol scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bristol
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bristol
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bristol
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bristol
2.8
How Bristol compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bristol
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bristol, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and in line with the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039000702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000702?
Census tract 18039000702 in Bristol scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039000702?
Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000702?
21.5% of residents in tract 18039000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,195.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 84th, minority 44th, housing 98th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 18039000702 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 18039000702 compare to Bristol overall?
Tract 18039000702 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bristol at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bristol; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bristol
Top eight tracts in Bristol ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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