Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Elkhart Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 18039002202 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 4,986 · 78% of tract blocks fall in Elkhart

18039002202 is a census tract in Elkhart, IN. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,986 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 24% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,501

Renter share34.0%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate12.6%

Median income$57,827

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elkhart and the region

Centroid at 41.6619, -85.9748 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elkhart scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Elkhart

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.6

State political climate

Indiana legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

12.6% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$935 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Elkhart

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Elkhart

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Elkhart

7.3

How Elkhart compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

56%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.5%Housing insecurity
14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
26.0%Food insecurity
14.7%SNAP enrollment
12.3%Transit barriers
19.3%No health insurance
19.0%Frequent mental distress
35.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elkhart

29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Elkhart County average of 40.7%. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

It tracks the Elkhart County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $935, close to the Elkhart average.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $57,827. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039002202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039002202?

Census tract 18039002202 in Elkhart scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 18039002202?

Median gross rent is $935/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039002202?

12.6% of residents in tract 18039002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,986.

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039002202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 54th, minority 77th, housing 66th.

What share of households in tract 18039002202 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 18039002202 compare to Elkhart overall?

Tract 18039002202 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elkhart at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkhart eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elkhart

Top eight tracts in Elkhart ranked by composite eviction-risk score.