Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Twin Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goshen

Tract 18039000501 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 7,333 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 18039000501 in the Twin Pines area of Goshen, IN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,333 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.5/10.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 25% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units2,071

Renter share43.2%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate13.4%

Median income$70,993

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 41.5941, -85.8771 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twin Pines scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goshen

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.6

State political climate

Indiana legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

13.4% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,082 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goshen

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goshen

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goshen

7.4

How Twin Pines compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Twin Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.1%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
20.7%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
17.4%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
33.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twin Pines

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. It tracks the Elkhart County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,082, close to the Goshen average.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $70,993. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039000501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000501?

Census tract 18039000501 in the Twin Pines neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 18039000501?

Median gross rent is $1,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000501?

13.4% of residents in tract 18039000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,333.

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 49th, minority 64th, housing 62th.

Is tract 18039000501 considered part of Twin Pines?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18039000501 fall within Twin Pines (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 18039000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 18039000501 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 18039000501 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Goshen at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goshen

Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.