Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Twin Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Goshen

Tract 18039000501 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 7,333 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 18039000501, home to 7,333 residents in the Twin Pines area of Goshen, scores 5.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,082 a month against an average household income of $70,993 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 25% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units2,071

Renter share43.2%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate13.4%

Median income$70,993

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 41.5941, -85.8771 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twin Pines scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goshen

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.6

State political climate

Indiana legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

13.4% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,082 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goshen

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goshen

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goshen

7.4

How Twin Pines compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Twin Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.1%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
20.7%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
17.4%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
33.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twin Pines

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039000501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000501?

Census tract 18039000501 in the Twin Pines neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 18039000501?

Median gross rent is $1,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000501?

13.4% of residents in tract 18039000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,333.

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 49th, minority 64th, housing 62th.

Is tract 18039000501 considered part of Twin Pines?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18039000501 fall within Twin Pines (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 18039000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 18039000501 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 18039000501 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goshen

Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.