Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Shanklin Millrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goshen
Tract 18039000100 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 2,989 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 18039000100 covers Shanklin Millrace in Goshen in Indiana. Home to 2,989 residents, it scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 50% of US census tracts.
68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $851 monthly, set against $60,608 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,044
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$60,608
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goshen and the region
Centroid at 41.5818, -85.8352 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shanklin Millrace scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goshen
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
7.4
How Shanklin Millrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.5%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shanklin Millrace
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000100?
Census tract 18039000100 in the Shanklin Millrace neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039000100?
Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000100?
15.6% of residents in tract 18039000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,989.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 84th, minority 43th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 18039000100 considered part of Shanklin Millrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18039000100 fall within Shanklin Millrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 18039000100 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 18039000100 compare to Goshen overall?
Tract 18039000100 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goshen
Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
East Goshen
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Terrace Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
West Goshen
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000400
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039001302
3
/ 10 · Low
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