Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
West Goshen Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 18039000502 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 5,017 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 18039000502 covers the West Goshen area of Goshen in Indiana. Home to 5,017 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #57,051 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,046 a month against an average household income of $61,507 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,797
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$61,507
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goshen and the region
Centroid at 41.5827, -85.8548 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Goshen scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goshen
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,046 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
7.4
How West Goshen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Goshen
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and in line with the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039000502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000502?
Census tract 18039000502 in the West Goshen neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039000502?
Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000502?
13.1% of residents in tract 18039000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,017.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 54th, minority 51th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 18039000502 considered part of West Goshen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18039000502 fall within West Goshen (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 18039000502 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 18039000502 compare to Goshen overall?
Tract 18039000502 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goshen
Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
East Goshen
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Terrace Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Shanklin Millrace
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000400
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039001302
3
/ 10 · Low
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