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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Elkhart Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 18039002600 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 4,746

Tract 18039002600 sits in Elkhart eviction risk, IN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 18% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,632
Renter share56.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate30.7%
Median income$37,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 20 tracts In Elkhart
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 45 tracts In Elkhart County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elkhart and the region

Centroid at 41.6740, -85.9697 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elkhart scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elkhart
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
30.7% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$952 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elkhart
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elkhart
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elkhart
7.3

How Elkhart compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elkhart risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0026004.0Elkhartparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elkhart

Cost burden runs 67% here against 40.7% across Elkhart County. Food insecurity runs 38.5% against 17.8% nationally. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Elkhart County average of 3.9. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $952, close to the Elkhart average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039002600?

Census tract 18039002600 in Elkhart scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18039002600?

Median gross rent is $952/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039002600?

30.7% of residents in tract 18039002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,746.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 82th, housing 95th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 18039002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 18039002600 compare to Elkhart overall?

Tract 18039002600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elkhart at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkhart eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elkhart

Top eight tracts in Elkhart ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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