Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Elkhart Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 18039002600 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 4,746
Elkhart in Elkhart County anchors census tract 18039002600, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $952 a month against an average household income of $37,355 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,632
Renter share56.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate30.7%
Median income$37,355
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
National
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elkhart and the region
Centroid at 41.6740, -85.9697 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elkhart scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elkhart
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
30.7% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$952 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elkhart
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elkhart
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elkhart
7.3
How Elkhart compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.3%Housing insecurity
- 22.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.5%Food insecurity
- 28.6%SNAP enrollment
- 18.4%Transit barriers
- 21.5%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 42.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elkhart
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elkhart eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 29.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039002600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039002600?
Census tract 18039002600 in Elkhart scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039002600?
Median gross rent is $952/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039002600?
30.7% of residents in tract 18039002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,746.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039002600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 98th, minority 82th, housing 95th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 18039002600 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 18039002600 compare to Elkhart overall?
Tract 18039002600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Elkhart at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkhart eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elkhart
Top eight tracts in Elkhart ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
18039002201
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IN
18039001601
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
18039002700
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
18039001901
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
18039002300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
18039002102
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
18039001501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
18039002900
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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