Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
East Goshen Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 18039000202 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 3,742 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 18039000202 belongs to the East Goshen neighborhood of Goshen, Indiana. It is home to 3,742 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,140 monthly, set against $56,667 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,276
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate29.2%
Median income$56,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goshen and the region
Centroid at 41.5991, -85.7986 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Goshen scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goshen
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
29.2% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
7.4
How East Goshen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.2%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 15.1%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 35.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Goshen
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039000202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000202?
Census tract 18039000202 in the East Goshen neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039000202?
Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000202?
29.2% of residents in tract 18039000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,742.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 78th, minority 56th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 18039000202 considered part of East Goshen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18039000202 fall within East Goshen (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 18039000202 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 18039000202 compare to Goshen overall?
Tract 18039000202 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goshen
Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Terrace Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Shanklin Millrace
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
West Goshen
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000400
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039001302
3
/ 10 · Low
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