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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Carmel

Tract 18057111104 · Hamilton County, IN · pop 5,435 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 18057111104 sits in the Orchard Park area of Carmel eviction risk, IN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hamilton County average of 33.7%.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 18% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,696
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$94,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Orchard Park
Moderate
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In Carmel
Elevated
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 57 tracts In Hamilton County
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#761 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carmel and the region

Centroid at 39.9366, -86.1312 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Park scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carmel
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,782 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carmel
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carmel
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carmel
3.5

How Orchard Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 1111043.4Carmelparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park

The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. SNAP participation runs 3.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Hamilton County average of 3.6 closely. Average gross rent is $1,782, close to the Carmel average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 18057111104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18057111104?

Census tract 18057111104 in the Orchard Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18057111104?

Median gross rent is $1,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18057111104?

3.0% of residents in tract 18057111104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,435.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18057111104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 7th, minority 23th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 18057111104 considered part of Orchard Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18057111104 fall within Orchard Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 18057111104 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 18057111104 compare to Carmel overall?

Tract 18057111104 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Carmel at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carmel eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carmel

Top eight tracts in Carmel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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