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Neighborhood · Carmel, IN

Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,435 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Orchard Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Carmel, IN and houses 5,435 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.7/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 26.7% citywide, putting Orchard Park 23.0% over its own city.

The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. Running hot is supply constraint at 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10. SNAP participation is 3.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

That places it #2 of 8 neighborhoods in Carmel. The closest comparables inside the same city are Trails End and Grannan Grove. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,782, close to the Carmel average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Orchard Park vs Carmel How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.7% +86%
Carmel: 26.7%
Average gross rent
$1,782 +4%
Carmel: $1,712
Average HH income
$94,286 -30%
Carmel: $134,602
Poverty rate
3.0% -20%
Carmel: 3.7%
Renter share
35.7% +39%
Carmel: 25.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orchard Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Orchard Park scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
3.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Risk score comparison

Orchard Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orchard Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Orchard ParkNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Orchard Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
18057111104 3.7 5,435 50% $1,782
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 7%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 23%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Orchard Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Orchard Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orchard Park?

Orchard Park scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orchard Park compare to Carmel overall?

Orchard Park scores 0.3 points higher than Carmel overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,782 vs $1,712.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orchard Park?

Average gross rent in Orchard Park is $1,782/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orchard Park residents are renters?

36% of Orchard Park households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Carmel). The neighborhood has 5,435 residents.
Q5

Is Orchard Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Orchard Park sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Orchard Park for landlords?

Orchard Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carmel as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Orchard Park?

Orchard Park has 5,680 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.8%), Hispanic / Latino (4.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orchard Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carmel

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orchard Park.

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