Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Sherman Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153002700 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,283 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 19153002700 (Sherman Hill in Des Moines, Iowa) comes in at 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #29,522 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,052 monthly, set against $48,140 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,021
Renter share69.7%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate32.4%
Median income$48,140
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5905, -93.6451 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sherman Hill scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
32.4% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Sherman Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 65%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 856Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2006)
- 58Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.7%Food insecurity
- 20.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sherman Hill
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 856 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 6.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.3% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153002700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002700?
Census tract 19153002700 in the Sherman Hill neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153002700?
Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002700?
32.4% of residents in tract 19153002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,283.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 36th, minority 55th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 19153002700 considered part of Sherman Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153002700 fall within Sherman Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 856 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.89% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153002700 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153002700 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153002700 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153002700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
King Irving
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
19153000101
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Drake Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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