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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

East Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines

Tract 19153005102 · Polk County, IA · pop 1,479 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 19153005102 in the East Village area of Des Moines, IA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 64% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share89.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$64,400

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Village
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Moderate
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#365 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5910, -93.6069 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Village scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,159 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How East Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0051023.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Village

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Against Polk County at 42.0%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10.

9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153005102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153005102?

Census tract 19153005102 in the East Village neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153005102?

Median gross rent is $1,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153005102?

8.7% of residents in tract 19153005102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,479.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153005102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 0th, minority 45th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 19153005102 considered part of East Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153005102 fall within East Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 19153005102 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19153005102 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153005102 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19153005102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 71% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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