Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Capitol Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153004800 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,783 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
19153004800 is a census tract in the Capitol Park area of Des Moines, IA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,783. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Polk County average of 42.0%.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units973
Renter share48.4%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate28.0%
Median income$47,604
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6017, -93.6075 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitol Park scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
28.0% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Capitol Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 66%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 28%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 409Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.6%Peak (2007)
- 44Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.2%Housing insecurity
- 16.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.2%Food insecurity
- 31.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.6%Transit barriers
- 20.9%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitol Park
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Food insecurity runs 35.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 31.8% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Court records carry 409 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Average gross rent is $933, 14% below the Des Moines average.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 8.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153004800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004800?
Census tract 19153004800 in the Capitol Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153004800?
Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004800?
28.0% of residents in tract 19153004800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,783.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 96th, minority 80th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 19153004800 considered part of Capitol Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004800 fall within Capitol Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 409 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.79% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153004800 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153004800 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153004800 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153004800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
King Irving
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Western Gateway
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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