Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
River Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153004900 · Polk County, IA · pop 1,686 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 19153004900 sits in the River Bend area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 1,686 residents. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate27.3%
Median income$38,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6046, -93.6185 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Bend scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.3% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$745 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How River Bend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 71%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 410Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2012)
- 35Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.4%Housing insecurity
- 23.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.1%Food insecurity
- 47.1%SNAP enrollment
- 21.7%Transit barriers
- 20.5%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 45.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Bend
Cost burden runs 66% here against 42.0% across Polk County. Food insecurity runs 45.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.
Average gross rent is $745, 32% below the Des Moines average. Housing insecurity runs 30.4% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Polk County average of 3.8.
The filing record is not thin: 410 evictions over 10 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.9% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153004900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004900?
Census tract 19153004900 in the River Bend neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153004900?
Median gross rent is $745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004900?
27.3% of residents in tract 19153004900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,686.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 92th, minority 76th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 19153004900 considered part of River Bend?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004900 fall within River Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 410 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.97% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153004900 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153004900 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153004900 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153004900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 71% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
King Irving
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Western Gateway
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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