Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
King Irving Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153005000 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,907 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 19153005000 in King Irving in Des Moines ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,907 residents. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 63% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $955 a month while the average household earns $33,182 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,090
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$33,182
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6041, -93.6305 · click any tract to drill in
Why King Irving scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$955 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How King Irving compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 6%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 72%Grade C
- 22%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 889Total filings over 10 yrs
- 16.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.1%Peak (2006)
- 106Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.1%Housing insecurity
- 23.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.8%Food insecurity
- 45.8%SNAP enrollment
- 22.0%Transit barriers
- 19.4%No health insurance
- 23.2%Frequent mental distress
- 43.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in King Irving
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 31.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 22% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153005000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153005000?
Census tract 19153005000 in the King Irving neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153005000?
Median gross rent is $955/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153005000?
33.8% of residents in tract 19153005000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,907.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153005000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 79th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 19153005000 considered part of King Irving?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153005000 fall within King Irving (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153005000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 889 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153005000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.65% of renter households, peaking at 22.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153005000 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153005000 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153005000 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153005000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
19153000101
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Drake Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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