Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
The Old Market Eviction Risk: Lower , Council Bluffs
Tract 19155030402 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 2,720 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 19155030402 sits in the The Old Market area of Council Bluffs eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 2,720 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,299
Renter share54.4%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$60,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region
Centroid at 41.2565, -95.9125 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Old Market scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,138 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8
How The Old Market compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 36%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 59Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2013)
- 12Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Old Market
Cost burden runs 28% here against 38.2% across Pottawattamie County. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 59 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,138, 10% above the Council Bluffs average.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Pottawattamie County average of 4.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19155030402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155030402?
Census tract 19155030402 in the The Old Market neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19155030402?
Median gross rent is $1,138/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19155030402?
5.2% of residents in tract 19155030402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,720.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19155030402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 42th, minority 22th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 19155030402 considered part of The Old Market?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19155030402 fall within The Old Market (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155030402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155030402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.09% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19155030402 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19155030402 compare to Council Bluffs overall?
Tract 19155030402 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Council Bluffs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19155030402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs
Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
NoDo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030700
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030900
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155031100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155031300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030502
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030602
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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