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Neighborhood · Louisville, KY

Bonnycastle Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 8,683 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3.2

Bonnycastle Neighborhood spans 4 census tracts of Louisville, KY, population 8,683. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 35% against 43.6% citywide, putting Bonnycastle Neighborhood 8.6% under its own city. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 706 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 7.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.4% in 2015, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $1,084, 7% above the Louisville average of $1,011.

Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Louisville, it ranks #11 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Highlands Douglass Neighborhood and Original Highland Neighborhood.

Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 4 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Bonnycastle Neighborhood vs Louisville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.0% -20%
Louisville: 43.6%
Average gross rent
$1,084 +7%
Louisville: $1,011
Average HH income
$100,344 +76%
Louisville: $57,076
Poverty rate
5.9% -74%
Louisville: 22.4%
Renter share
42.8% -15%
Louisville: 50.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bonnycastle Neighborhood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3.2

Why Bonnycastle Neighborhood scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
5.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–3.8 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Bonnycastle Neighborhood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bonnycastle Neighborhood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Bonnycastle NeighbNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bonnycastle Neighborhood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.2 points from 3 to 3.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Bonnycastle Neighborhood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
21111008500 3.2 2,039 43% $975
21111008400 3 3,046 35% $1,176
21111007900 3 1,866 32% $1,039
21111008201 3 1,732 29% $1,100
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 15%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bonnycastle Neighborhood

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 706Total filings (sum)
  • 3.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak year (2009)
  • 2.92%Latest filed (2015)
Frequently asked

About Bonnycastle Neighborhood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bonnycastle Neighborhood?

Bonnycastle Neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bonnycastle Neighborhood compare to Louisville overall?

Bonnycastle Neighborhood scores 1.0 points lower than Louisville overall (4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 44% citywide. Average rent: $1,084 vs $1,011.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bonnycastle Neighborhood?

Average gross rent in Bonnycastle Neighborhood is $1,084/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bonnycastle Neighborhood residents are renters?

43% of Bonnycastle Neighborhood households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Louisville). The neighborhood has 8,683 residents.
Q5

Is Bonnycastle Neighborhood a high social-vulnerability area?

Bonnycastle Neighborhood sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bonnycastle Neighborhood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bonnycastle Neighborhood is census tract 21111008500 (score 3.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Bonnycastle Neighborhood for landlords?

Bonnycastle Neighborhood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Louisville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bonnycastle Neighborhood?

Bonnycastle Neighborhood has 8,460 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (91.7%), Other / Multiracial (3.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bonnycastle Neighborhood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Louisville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bonnycastle Neighborhood.

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