Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Bonnycastle Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville
Tract 21111008400 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,046 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
In Bonnycastle Neighborhood in Louisville, census tract 21111008400 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #45,360 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,176 monthly, set against $109,033 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$109,033
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2276, -85.7071 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bonnycastle Neighborhood scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,176 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Bonnycastle Neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 24%Grade B
- 66%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 195Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2006)
- 4Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 76% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bonnycastle Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bonnycastle Neighborhood
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 195 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111008400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111008400?
Census tract 21111008400 in the Bonnycastle Neighborhood neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111008400?
Median gross rent is $1,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111008400?
4.9% of residents in tract 21111008400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,046.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111008400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 2th, minority 10th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 21111008400 considered part of Bonnycastle Neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111008400 fall within Bonnycastle Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111008400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111008400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.88% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 21111008400 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111008400 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 21111008400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111003501
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001400
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001500
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 21111008400
Parent city ↑
Louisville
3.2 / 10
Parent county ↑
Jefferson County
Parent state ↑
Kentucky
Sibling tract →
Bonnycastle Neighborhood
2.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Bonnycastle Neighborhood
2.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Bonnycastle Neighborhood
3.2 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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